Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.915112 4.659907 5.488601 6.476225 7.618278 8.894378 10.425084
2025-10-19 2.944582 3.929528 5.136510 6.712680 8.703528 11.120312 14.260229
2025-10-26 2.254907 3.315393 4.724177 6.706831 9.394707 12.877209 17.689291
2025-11-02 1.720102 2.758756 4.240862 6.467145 9.673632 14.062150 20.444293
2025-11-09 1.343983 2.333837 3.840709 6.239360 9.882371 15.110295 23.052591
2025-11-16 1.117403 2.083706 3.641669 6.250804 10.399299 16.598280 26.369686
2025-11-23 0.942191 1.878620 3.471288 6.265922 10.898145 18.076048 29.768358
2025-11-30 0.790625 1.682183 3.278458 6.206349 11.252933 19.341798 32.923617
2025-12-07 0.635904 1.446877 2.977261 5.913038 11.175164 19.897090 34.985418
2025-12-14 0.541362 1.309380 2.829141 5.863607 11.493985 21.104420 38.166852
2025-12-21 0.466019 1.195718 2.706824 5.840762 11.847757 22.385650 41.549848
2025-12-28 0.439034 1.182626 2.780806 6.198837 12.923648 24.981359 47.331740
2026-01-04 0.396535 1.127181 2.762926 6.380376 13.701119 27.138849 52.559872
2026-01-11 0.365312 1.092740 2.784976 6.646010 14.666332 29.709192 58.702174
2026-01-18 0.319425 1.010977 2.689013 6.650065 15.113625 31.359972 63.302678
2026-01-25 0.265765 0.895412 2.495582 6.415090 15.048660 32.037922 66.158101
2026-02-01 0.221399 0.794187 2.318305 6.189793 14.974514 32.681975 68.979519
2026-02-08 0.195201 0.739822 2.248104 6.201418 15.402574 34.332649 73.813909
2026-02-15 0.172605 0.690792 2.183295 6.216510 15.836958 36.022569 78.825603
2026-02-22 0.150143 0.636034 2.093500 6.157378 16.096574 37.370597 83.241951
2026-03-01 0.123112 0.557245 1.921959 5.866132 15.790671 37.516574 85.250664
2026-03-08 0.107424 0.514744 1.847334 5.817051 16.046691 38.864224 89.784173
2026-03-15 0.094495 0.478785 1.785746 5.794368 16.362535 40.359736 94.709776